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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-20 09:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$11K$9.6K
Holders188+17171
Trades2.3K−402.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.2%
+10.4 pp
48.7%
Avg ROI0.7%
−1.9 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−38.82×
×39.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.73
−35.71×
×36.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.4K
+$6.3K
$5.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.79
−0.20
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL41.2%
+138.2 pp
-97.0%
Underwater %1.2%
−97.3 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.8%
−19.0 pp
65.8%
Bot %62.5%
−17.4 pp
79.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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