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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

data as of 2026-02-26 17:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K+$28K$10K
Holders466+73393
Trades3.4K−5704.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.7%
+23.7 pp
36.9%
Avg ROI9.0%
+2.4 pp
6.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.74
−18.76×
×19.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−21.24×
×22.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26.7K
+$17.0K
$9.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.01
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL32.4%
+127.9 pp
-95.5%
Underwater %0.1%
−99.1 pp
99.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.7%
−0.5 pp
81.2%
Bot %80.2%
+4.0 pp
76.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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