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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10AM ET

data as of 2025-08-12 14:48 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$15K$5.7K
Holders39−847
Trades581+27554
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.6%
+4.0 pp
62.6%
Avg ROI8.6%
+4.8 pp
3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−0.77×
×1.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.82
−0.85×
×1.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.7K
+$2.5K
$181
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.08
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.4%
+61.3 pp
-39.9%
Underwater %23.2%
−57.8 pp
81.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.9%
−12.2 pp
46.1%
Bot %35.1%
−11.7 pp
46.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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