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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

data as of 2026-06-22 16:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.6K−$10K$15K
Holders276+13263
Trades2.2K+8071.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
−4.2 pp
54.7%
Avg ROI-0.8%
−2.9 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.17
+5.36×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.71
+5.89×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.5K
−$9.6K
$14.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.00
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-84.9%
−109.7 pp
24.8%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.6%
+2.0 pp
43.6%
Bot %56.1%
+1.9 pp
54.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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