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Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

data as of 2026-05-01 11:56 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 20, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.4K−$15K$20K
Holders167+7493
Trades1.2K+1411.0K
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.3%
+30.3 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI-10.4%
−10.4 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
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██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+2.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.38
+1.38×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$2
$2
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-58.1%
−58.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %96.2%
+96.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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