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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 1?

data as of 2026-05-01 16:33 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$354−$7.6K$7.9K
Holders75−65140
Trades864+219645
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.1%
−48.5 pp
78.6%
Avg ROI46.2%
+46.3 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.99
+2.02×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.77
+2.80×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$633
$637
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.02
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-75.5%
−78.8 pp
3.3%
Underwater %90.6%
+80.5 pp
10.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.5%
+2.6 pp
10.9%
Bot %16.0%
+5.1 pp
10.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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