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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 04:38 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$5.1K$6.5K
Holders226−5231
Trades1.5K−881.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.5%
+1.7 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−1.9 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.67
−8.89×
×9.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.66
−8.82×
×9.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.4K
+$3.1K
$6.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.04
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL48.9%
+138.3 pp
-89.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.1 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.8%
−3.5 pp
46.3%
Bot %55.5%
−0.1 pp
55.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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