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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 11:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$7.1K$17K
Holders393+157236
Trades2.7K+5942.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.1%
−2.9 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI0.1%
−1.3 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.93
+9.20×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.24
+9.51×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.7K
−$9.6K
$16.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.00
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.3%
−127.5 pp
37.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.7 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.6%
−2.6 pp
32.2%
Bot %46.8%
−17.8 pp
64.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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