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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8AM ET

data as of 2025-09-03 12:52 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$25K−$1.3K$26K
Holders67−168
Trades1.2K−1811.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.1%
−4.7 pp
43.8%
Avg ROI2.1%
−1.4 pp
3.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.21
+27.88×
×0.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×27.16
+26.79×
×0.37
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$226
−$747
$973
Recent buyer dominance0.77
+0.11
0.65
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−274.4 pp
178.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %88.0%
−0.9 pp
89.0%
Bot %89.2%
−1.2 pp
90.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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