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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

data as of 2025-10-09 00:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.4K−$2.5K$5.9K
Holders33+330
Trades147−1148
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.7%
−7.3 pp
54.0%
Avg ROI1.6%
+16.1 pp
-14.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.67
+15.94×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.27
+15.55×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$33
−$24
$57
Recent buyer dominance0.72
+0.14
0.58
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.8%
−131.7 pp
37.8%
Underwater %98.2%
+97.4 pp
0.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.4%
−8.4 pp
14.8%
Bot %6.4%
−8.4 pp
14.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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