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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

data as of 2025-12-28 09:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$44K+$23K$21K
Holders236−57293
Trades3.8K+3053.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.4%
+10.9 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI3.6%
+1.0 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−13.94×
×14.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−13.18×
×13.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.0K
+$15.2K
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.23
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL49.9%
+142.7 pp
-92.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.8 pp
98.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.4%
−11.9 pp
54.2%
Bot %39.1%
−24.4 pp
63.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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