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Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?

data as of 2026-01-11 04:43 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$300−$107K$107K
Holders78−60138
Trades4.2K+1.2K3.1K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.4%
−38.8 pp
85.2%
Avg ROI16.8%
+14.7 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.68
+1.70×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.52
+1.53×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$75
+$19.4K
−$19.4K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-66.7%
−68.6 pp
1.9%
Underwater %82.5%
+82.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.1%
+19.7 pp
15.4%
Bot %32.0%
+17.8 pp
14.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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