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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 19:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.3K−$16K$23K
Holders334+72262
Trades1.7K+1491.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−1.6 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI3.1%
+0.8 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.91
+9.17×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.11
+9.36×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.1K
−$11.4K
$18.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.8%
−124.1 pp
34.3%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.7%
+1.4 pp
33.4%
Bot %69.1%
−0.4 pp
69.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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