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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

data as of 2026-04-04 11:05 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$31K+$21K$9.7K
Holders393−30423
Trades4.5K−2084.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.4%
+12.3 pp
42.1%
Avg ROI2.3%
+2.5 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−23.95×
×24.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−20.04×
×20.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24.1K
+$15.6K
$8.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.06
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL48.9%
+144.5 pp
-95.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.5 pp
97.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.9%
+1.4 pp
69.5%
Bot %63.4%
−6.3 pp
69.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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