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Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

data as of 2024-04-28 03:05 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7.1K−$275K$282K
Holders1.7K+1.5K185
Trades6.2K+5.6K581
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate19.8%
−54.2 pp
74.0%
Avg ROI1814.2%
+1812.0 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.09
+9.10×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.00
+9.08×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1
−$1.0K
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.43
−0.17
0.60
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.9%
−96.9 pp
7.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.8 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %99.0%
+27.3 pp
71.7%
Bot %99.0%
+27.7 pp
71.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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