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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 17?

data as of 2026-05-17 22:05 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$14−$962$976
Holders28+1414
Trades89+5930
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.8%
−60.5 pp
87.3%
Avg ROI5.9%
+3.9 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.00
+11.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.76
+11.77×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$10
$10
Recent buyer dominance0.54
−0.46
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.5%
−93.7 pp
1.2%
Underwater %92.1%
+92.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.2%
+14.3 pp
0.9%
Bot %15.2%
+14.3 pp
0.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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