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Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 5PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 21:32 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$588+$496$92
Holders14−519
Trades57−1269
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.3%
+3.8 pp
45.5%
Avg ROI0.7%
−71.2 pp
71.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.91
−1.99×
×2.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.92
−2.51×
×3.43
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$131
+$112
$19
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL8.6%
+79.2 pp
-70.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.4 pp
97.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.6%
−47.4 pp
75.0%
Bot %40.1%
−35.2 pp
75.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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