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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 12:40 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.1K+$2.7K$2.4K
Holders87−693
Trades673−81754
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
+7.1 pp
46.5%
Avg ROI0.3%
−5.4 pp
5.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−12.21×
×12.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−11.40×
×12.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.8K
+$1.2K
$662
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.08
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL47.3%
+139.7 pp
-92.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.9 pp
98.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.0%
+8.4 pp
44.6%
Bot %60.9%
+12.0 pp
48.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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