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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 00:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$40K+$28K$13K
Holders416−5421
Trades3.3K−803.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.6%
−0.5 pp
52.1%
Avg ROI2.9%
+1.3 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−1.71×
×2.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−2.55×
×3.24
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23.0K
+$11.2K
$11.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL37.3%
+104.6 pp
-67.4%
Underwater %12.2%
−73.7 pp
85.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.0%
−3.6 pp
38.6%
Bot %55.5%
+2.3 pp
53.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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