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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET

data as of 2025-10-16 17:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$48K+$30K$18K
Holders110+1694
Trades2.3K−2232.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.5%
+8.5 pp
44.1%
Avg ROI4.5%
+2.7 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−51.74×
×52.24
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.45
−47.24×
×47.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.1K
+$2.8K
$257
Recent buyer dominance0.75
−0.21
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL113.0%
+210.9 pp
-97.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.7 pp
96.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.5%
+3.0 pp
66.6%
Bot %40.2%
−26.6 pp
66.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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