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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-23 01:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.3K+$1.2K$4.1K
Holders115+2095
Trades1.1K−751.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.0%
+1.9 pp
50.1%
Avg ROI1.0%
−1.1 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×49.31
+48.78×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×50.61
+50.18×
×0.43
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.7K
−$361
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.09
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.0%
−229.2 pp
131.2%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.1%
−12.4 pp
59.6%
Bot %66.4%
−12.6 pp
79.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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