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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 20?

data as of 2026-07-18 21:25 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 20, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
32¢
NO
68¢
YES
32¢
YesY-NNo
Position$317−$295$613
Holders15−1328
Trades82−50132
NO
68¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.8%
−13.4 pp
54.2%
Avg ROI5.5%
−14.6 pp
20.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.03
+0.05×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.04
+0.05×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$138
−$144
$282
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.10
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-3.7%
−4.9 pp
1.1%
Underwater %81.2%
+65.7 pp
15.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.4%
−1.6 pp
4.0%
Bot %46.4%
+45.8 pp
0.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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