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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 20:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.6K−$1.4K$6.0K
Holders139+35104
Trades869+93776
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
−1.4 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI3.8%
+1.8 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.17
+17.48×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.88
+17.14×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.1K
−$2.7K
$4.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.2%
−135.9 pp
41.7%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.6%
+7.1 pp
32.5%
Bot %52.7%
+3.1 pp
49.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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