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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-14 17:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.3K−$17K$20K
Holders224+17207
Trades1.8K+91.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.1%
−8.8 pp
55.9%
Avg ROI0.6%
−0.3 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.79
+7.96×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.79
+9.00×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$289
−$3.9K
$4.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.05
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.7%
−115.3 pp
24.6%
Underwater %95.2%
+95.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.2%
−7.3 pp
65.5%
Bot %57.2%
−7.5 pp
64.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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