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Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?

data as of 2026-07-13 18:08 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 19, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
7¢
NO
93¢
YES
7¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7−$91$98
Holders1−12
Trades1−23
NO
93¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.1%
−33.7 pp
82.8%
Avg ROI-3.0%
−12.5 pp
9.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$86
$93
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.1 pp
-0.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−4.8 pp
4.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−4.8 pp
4.8%
Bot %0.0%
−4.8 pp
4.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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