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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on July 30?

data as of 2025-07-30 06:44 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5.6K−$52K$57K
Holders70−63133
Trades628+100528
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−15.7 pp
63.7%
Avg ROI3.0%
+0.4 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.25
+2.35×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.67
+2.76×
×0.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$95
−$2.2K
$2.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.05
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-71.7%
−82.1 pp
10.4%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.1%
+0.5 pp
65.7%
Bot %65.9%
+0.2 pp
65.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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