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Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?

data as of 2026-07-03 00:20 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Sep 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
19¢
NO
75¢
YES
19¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.5K−$674$2.1K
Holders41+2714
Trades232+17062
NO
75¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.5%
−44.1 pp
73.7%
Avg ROI-9.2%
−8.4 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.77
+1.10×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.84
+1.17×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$32
−$64
$96
Recent buyer dominance0.63
−0.37
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-45.2%
−94.6 pp
49.4%
Underwater %68.7%
+68.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.3%
−65.2 pp
99.5%
Bot %34.3%
−65.5 pp
99.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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