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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 21?

data as of 2026-04-21 18:48 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$19K+$14K$5.1K
Holders237+11226
Trades2.8K+1.3K1.5K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate65.1%
+9.6 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI3.6%
−5.1 pp
8.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−79.73×
×80.37
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−65.37×
×66.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.50
+0.50
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL50.6%
+149.3 pp
-98.7%
Underwater %3.0%
−96.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.2%
−26.4 pp
42.5%
Bot %16.0%
−26.5 pp
42.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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