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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-20 10:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.7K−$6.6K$9.3K
Holders104−4108
Trades969+217752
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.4%
−19.5 pp
63.9%
Avg ROI-9.7%
−12.2 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.05
+4.14×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.34
+4.41×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$92
−$4.3K
$4.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-81.2%
−89.2 pp
8.0%
Underwater %91.3%
+70.4 pp
20.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.0%
−6.9 pp
36.9%
Bot %32.4%
−18.8 pp
51.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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