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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 07:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K−$1.6K$32K
Holders516+77439
Trades5.7K+7554.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
+0.4 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI0.3%
−0.5 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.97
+22.39×
×0.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.89
+22.31×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$29.7K
+$636
$29.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.07
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−168.3 pp
72.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.3%
−4.2 pp
33.5%
Bot %54.8%
−5.5 pp
60.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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