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Will "Caught Stealing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.5m?

data as of 2025-08-31 15:13 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$22K+$17K$4.3K
Holders79+2257
Trades403−99502
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate70.5%
+38.5 pp
32.0%
Avg ROI2.7%
+20.7 pp
-18.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.92
−27.33×
×28.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.88
−26.94×
×27.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.7K
+$1.7K
$14
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.07
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL14.6%
+110.9 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.7%
−47.6 pp
53.3%
Bot %5.7%
−47.6 pp
53.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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