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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on March 6?

data as of 2026-03-06 22:34 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$638−$13K$14K
Holders152−29181
Trades1.2K+391.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.8%
−36.8 pp
75.6%
Avg ROI7.1%
+7.2 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.56
+5.59×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.30
+8.35×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$329
$338
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.13
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.5%
−98.9 pp
5.5%
Underwater %99.6%
+90.7 pp
8.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.3%
+8.6 pp
27.7%
Bot %25.0%
−2.6 pp
27.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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