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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

data as of 2025-11-17 18:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.1K−$38K$47K
Holders105+1104
Trades1.3K−2701.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.1%
−22.2 pp
69.3%
Avg ROI0.1%
+5.5 pp
-5.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.70
+0.85×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.78
+0.83×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.4K
−$30.2K
$31.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.12
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-44.1%
−51.9 pp
7.8%
Underwater %93.2%
+45.1 pp
48.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.6%
+30.3 pp
46.3%
Bot %75.8%
+29.2 pp
46.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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