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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

data as of 2026-05-22 16:08 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.0K−$29K$35K
Holders365−18383
Trades3.2K+4192.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.6%
−4.9 pp
52.5%
Avg ROI0.3%
−0.1 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×21.19
+20.40×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.87
+20.10×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.6K
−$15.7K
$21.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−125.9 pp
30.3%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.8%
−7.6 pp
56.4%
Bot %71.0%
−5.3 pp
76.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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