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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on March 18?

data as of 2026-03-18 08:53 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$45−$6.2K$6.2K
Holders32−1648
Trades175+53122
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.8%
−52.5 pp
79.3%
Avg ROI36.3%
+35.1 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.00
+4.02×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.64
+5.65×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$552
$558
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.01
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.2%
−87.2 pp
2.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.8 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.1%
−9.6 pp
49.7%
Bot %44.8%
−3.7 pp
48.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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