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Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 1?

data as of 2026-05-01 07:53 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles May 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$667−$3.9K$4.5K
Holders113−19132
Trades645+171474
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.2%
−44.8 pp
75.0%
Avg ROI7.3%
−59.0 pp
66.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×120.00
+119.24×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×116.61
+115.76×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$17
$17
Recent buyer dominance0.53
−0.47
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.4%
−122.1 pp
22.8%
Underwater %95.6%
+95.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.9%
+14.3 pp
16.6%
Bot %38.2%
+24.6 pp
13.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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