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Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?

data as of 2026-05-22 19:15 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$409−$6.1K$6.5K
Holders60+951
Trades293+86207
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.2%
−34.9 pp
79.1%
Avg ROI59.8%
+56.9 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.86
+7.86×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.34
+18.48×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.50
+0.50
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.6%
−107.7 pp
12.1%
Underwater %77.9%
+76.6 pp
1.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.6%
+37.0 pp
18.5%
Bot %56.1%
+37.7 pp
18.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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