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Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

data as of 2026-05-12 06:52 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$958−$26K$27K
Holders116−50166
Trades1.9K−6952.6K
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−14.9 pp
64.3%
Avg ROI1.5%
−1.8 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.57
+2.63×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.86
+1.92×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$87
−$1.3K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
−0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-67.6%
−73.0 pp
5.4%
Underwater %65.2%
+58.5 pp
6.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.5%
−7.0 pp
8.5%
Bot %1.5%
−5.7 pp
7.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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