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Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?

data as of 2024-12-30 00:23 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$124K+$102K$22K
Holders898+575323
Trades4.3K+3644.0K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.6%
+3.2 pp
60.5%
Avg ROI8.8%
+4.8 pp
3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.85
−172.86×
×173.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−170.09×
×170.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.3K
+$11.1K
$229
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.06
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL17.0%
+116.4 pp
-99.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.7%
−44.7 pp
50.4%
Bot %5.0%
−45.3 pp
50.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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