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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 5?

data as of 2026-04-05 13:37 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$590−$6.3K$6.9K
Holders98−199
Trades1.0K+439588
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.3%
−46.1 pp
77.4%
Avg ROI21.9%
+22.6 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.91
−0.13×
×1.04
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.94
−0.10×
×1.04
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12
−$225
$238
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.15
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL2.8%
+5.8 pp
-3.0%
Underwater %30.3%
−58.4 pp
88.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.7%
+13.3 pp
9.4%
Bot %22.7%
+13.3 pp
9.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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