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Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?

data as of 2026-05-12 21:16 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
52¢
NO
2¢
YES
52¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.8K+$607$1.2K
Holders30+228
Trades241+73168
NO
2¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.6%
+14.7 pp
28.0%
Avg ROI14.1%
−42.4 pp
56.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.01
+0.01×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.01
−0.07×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$1
$1
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.6%
+6.3 pp
-6.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+85.1 pp
14.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−85.1 pp
85.1%
Bot %0.0%
−85.1 pp
85.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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