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Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 11?

data as of 2026-05-11 21:33 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$456−$2.3K$2.8K
Holders89−30119
Trades481−27508
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.4%
−29.0 pp
64.4%
Avg ROI9.5%
+8.8 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.67
−0.44×
×1.11
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−0.36×
×1.10
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$8
$13
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.30
0.70
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL35.5%
+43.7 pp
-8.2%
Underwater %12.5%
−64.1 pp
76.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.0%
+13.4 pp
8.6%
Bot %22.3%
+13.8 pp
8.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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