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UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. Musasa

data as of 2025-09-27 16:31 UTC● RESOLVEDThicknesse won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
THICKNESSE✓ WON
100¢
MUSASA
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
THICKNESSE
100¢
ThicknesseT-MMusasa
Position$256K+$12K$244K
Holders44+2519
Trades250−8258
MUSASA
0¢
ThicknesseΔ T−MMusasa
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.4%
+9.4 pp
54.9%
Avg ROI6.7%
+6.7 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.53
−0.32×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.54
−0.31×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1.2K
−$1.7K
$498
Recent buyer dominance0.27
−0.61
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL84.1%
+66.7 pp
17.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.6%
+1.6 pp
0.0%
Bot %5.3%
+5.3 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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