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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

data as of 2025-12-24 04:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$32K−$45K$76K
Holders344+116228
Trades5.0K−3605.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.6%
−11.3 pp
55.8%
Avg ROI3.1%
+0.8 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×27.79
+27.09×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.37
+28.72×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.9K
−$18.8K
$28.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.00
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.4%
−143.4 pp
46.9%
Underwater %97.1%
+97.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.8%
+17.8 pp
38.1%
Bot %57.6%
−0.2 pp
57.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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