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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 01:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$25K+$4.8K$20K
Holders419+21398
Trades3.4K−923.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.7%
−1.9 pp
49.5%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.8 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×56.52
+56.10×
×0.43
Top-20 avg cost vs price×56.06
+55.61×
×0.45
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24.3K
+$8.4K
$16.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.12
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.1%
−213.1 pp
115.1%
Underwater %96.6%
+96.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.6%
−2.1 pp
51.7%
Bot %54.3%
−2.3 pp
56.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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