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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

data as of 2026-05-16 03:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$32K+$17K$15K
Holders371+26345
Trades2.9K−252.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate75.3%
+34.5 pp
40.8%
Avg ROI1.4%
−10.3 pp
11.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.48
−1.99×
×2.47
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−1.53×
×2.24
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$25.9K
+$11.7K
$14.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL58.8%
+109.5 pp
-50.8%
Underwater %13.5%
−64.5 pp
78.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.8%
−15.3 pp
64.1%
Bot %48.7%
−18.9 pp
67.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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