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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 12:03 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.5K−$13K$17K
Holders336+2334
Trades2.0K+1401.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.6%
−4.8 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI6.1%
+6.0 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.60
+8.81×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.04
+8.24×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.1K
−$10.6K
$14.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.9%
−119.2 pp
29.3%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.0%
−14.0 pp
32.0%
Bot %24.6%
−15.5 pp
40.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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