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Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

data as of 2026-06-08 00:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$925−$69K$70K
Holders35−4075
Trades290+10280
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.0%
−30.5 pp
72.5%
Avg ROI11.7%
+5.2 pp
6.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.72
+1.79×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.93
+4.09×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$168
$170
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.04
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-81.4%
−100.6 pp
19.2%
Underwater %99.5%
+98.6 pp
0.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %95.8%
+92.7 pp
3.1%
Bot %95.8%
+92.6 pp
3.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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