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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-03 00:38 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$49K+$40K$9.4K
Holders418+72346
Trades3.6K+723.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.2%
+12.6 pp
45.6%
Avg ROI1.4%
+0.5 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−13.38×
×14.07
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−12.99×
×13.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.2K
+$16.3K
$946
Recent buyer dominance0.85
+0.08
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL47.5%
+140.8 pp
-93.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.5 pp
95.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.4%
+0.2 pp
81.2%
Bot %80.8%
−0.5 pp
81.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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