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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-07 03:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.2K−$7.2K$12K
Holders266+16250
Trades2.1K+2931.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
−1.4 pp
51.7%
Avg ROI2.1%
+1.9 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.84
+12.09×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.39
+11.66×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.9K
−$6.8K
$11.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.3%
−126.3 pp
34.0%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.7%
−1.2 pp
40.9%
Bot %56.8%
−5.7 pp
62.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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